"Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity."

"OpenAI is a lot of things now, but before anything else, we are a superintelligence research company."

"For our superintelligence effort, I'm focused on building the most elite and talent-dense team in the industry. We're also going to invest hundreds of billions of dollars into compute to build superintelligence."

"I think at the extreme end is the Nick Bostrom style of fear that an AGI could destroy humanity. I can't see any reason in principle why that couldn't happen."

"My chance that something goes really quite catastrophically wrong on the scale of human civilization might be somewhere between 10 per cent and 25 per cent."

"The idea that they [AI systems] might overtake us quite soon suddenly became much more plausible. For a long time I'd said that would be 30 to 50 years but now I think it may only be a few years."

"By 2027, we may automate AI R&D leading to vastly superhuman AIs ('artificial superintelligence' or ASI). In [our scenario that is titled] AI 2027, AI companies create expert-human-level AI systems in early 2027 which automate AI research, leading to ASI by the end of 2027."

"Time is short, and we must accelerate our actions to match accelerating AI progress. Possibly by 2026 or 2027 (and almost certainly no later than 2030), the capabilities of AI systems will be best thought of as akin to an entirely new state populated by highly intelligent people appearing on the global stage — a 'country of geniuses in a datacenter' — with the profound economic, societal, and security implications that would bring."

"Should these measures falter, some leaders may contemplate kinetic attacks on datacenters, arguing that allowing one actor to risk dominating or destroying the world are graver dangers, though kinetic attacks are likely unnecessary. Finally, under dire circumstances, states may resort to broader hostilities by climbing up existing escalation ladders or threatening non-AI assets. We refer to attacks against rival AI projects as 'maiming attacks.'"

"[U]se AI to achieve robust military superiority (the stick) while at the same time offering to distribute the benefits of powerful AI (the carrot) to a wider and wider group of countries in exchange for supporting the coalition's strategy to promote democracy (this would be a bit analogous to 'Atoms for Peace'). The coalition would aim to gain the support of more and more of the world, isolating our worst adversaries and eventually putting them in a position where they are better off taking the same bargain as the rest of the world: give up competing with democracies in order to receive all the benefits and not fight a superior foe."